Thursday, 9 May 2019

Today's Appeal Court ruling On Osun State Governorship election; My prediction By Richard Romanus

As the Abuja Division of the Court of Appeal today, gets ready to deliver judgement on the case before it as it concerns the Osun Election of Septmeber, 2018, a political analyst and social commentator in Cross River State, Mr. Richard Romanus, as taken out time to analyze the outcome of the judgement even as he tries to give a fair medication of today's  judgement.

Romanus writes as follows:

Today's Appeal court ruling on the Osun State Governorship election would have simply pass for a  sure win for PDP Senator Adeleke but I wont be surprise if the judgement goes the other way round.

If they is one State Tinubu will never concede to the PDP, it is Osun State. After Lagos, Osun is like his second home. Osun is the home State of two of his most trusted political allies, Immediate past Governor, Rauf Aregbesola and Ex Governor Bisi Akande. In the entire SouthWest, Lagos and Osun are the only states where he holds total grip. Therefore,  anybody who thinks Jagaban would sit and watch PDP takeover Osun through the Court is simply living in fools paradise. Losing Osun would be a bad omen for his rumored Presidential aspiration.

For the APC as a party, over their dead body would they allow PDP get a favourable judgment. If they do, then they must be ready to loss Kano and other States where supplementary elections were held judging by the Osun State governorship election tribunal judgement which held that supplementary election was a product of an illegal cancellation of the results in the seven polling units as the returning officer has no such  powers under the law. If the judgement is allowed to stand at the Appeal Court today,then a judicial precedent would have been set and the APC would be the worst hit.

However, Like Governor Nyesom Wike who loss Appeal and won at the Supreme Court in 2015, I foresee same fate befalling Senator Ademola Adeleke of the PDP. However, this can only happen if his party rally support for him.

Am saying that, it is suppose to be Senator Adeleke's judgment but I wont be surprise if Oyetola carries the day. Not because he truly won the September 27th governorship election but because the ruling party and their National Leader will do everything including writing judgment for  Appeal Court judges in order to avert the danger the tribunal judgement portends.

My name is Richard Romanus. I am not a political prophet.

Recall that the election tribunal sitting over the case had in its March 22, 2019 split judgment of two-to-one, nullified Oyetola's victory and declared Adeleke and the PDP the winner of the election.

The tribunal's chairman, Justice Ibrahim Sirajo, in his minority judgment, dissented from the majority judgment credited to Justices Peter Obiorah and Adegboye Gbolagunte.

The trio of Oyetola, APC and INEC had filed separate appeals challenging the majority judgment.

Although, in the overall, the majority judgment of the tribunal was in their favour, both Adeleke and PDP had filed a cross-appeal to challenge the aspect of the verdict which held that they failed to prove allegation of over-voting raised in their petition.

A five-man panel led by Justice Jummai Sankey had, on April 24, heard three appeals and a cross-appeal filed in relation to the Osun State governorship election and reserved its judgments on the appeal.

With Justice Sankey presiding, other members of the appeal panel which heard the four appeals were Justices Abubakar Yahaya, George Mbaba, Isaiah Akeju and Bitrus Sanga.

At the hearing on April 24, Governor Adegboyega Oyetola of Osun State, his party, the All Progressives Congress, and the Independent National Electoral Commission urged the court to upturn the March 22, 2019 majority judgment of the state Governorship Election Petition Tribunal, which nullified the governor's victory at the September 2018 poll.

But the Peoples Democratic Party and its candidate, Senator Ademola Adeleke, who were declared the winner of the election by the tribunal, urged the Court of Appeal to affirm the tribunal's judgment.

INEC had declared Oyetola and the APC the winner of the Osun State governorship election on the basis of the cumulative results of the September 22, 2018 main election and the September 27, 2018 supplementary poll.

Dissatisfied with the result declared by INEC, the PDP and Adeleke had filed their petition before the three-man Osun State Governorship Election Petition Tribunal, contending that they were the true winner of the election as they had already won after the September 22, 2018 poll and that there was no need for the supplementary election held on September 27, 2018.