Friday, 27 May 2022

Dear C'River PDP Delegate, The "Back to South Agenda" Looks Brighter, lets keep Faith with it



Ukorebi Esien | 26th May 2022


Due to time and space constraints please permit me not to lay much emphasis on the need to zone the gubernatorial seat of cross river state to the south. I believe there have been enough arguments on why that should be and any Cross Riverian who thinks  otherwise should be considered an enemy to development. 

As the People's Democratic Party rounds up its primary elections, I want to take a look at the various results coming from the field and how it is likely to affect the outcome of the governorship election.


From the result gotten so far it is now certain that the election in the PDP is a fight between Sen. Gershom Bassey from the Southern Senatorial District,Sen. Sandy Onor of the Central Senatorial District and Rt. Hon Daniel Asuquo of the Akamkpa / Biase Fed. Constituency . 

The National Assembly result from the south saw Rt. Hon. Essien Ayi, from the Akpabuyo, Bakassi and Calabar South Federal Constituency, Rt. Hon. Eta Mbora from the Odukpani/Calabar Municipality Federal Constituency, Hon. Austine Aidam for Akamkpa/Biase Federal Constituency and  Hon. Ekpo Okon from C'River Southern Senatorial district clinching their party's tickets. 


While in the Central Senatorial District, Hon. Eko Atu of Abi/Yakuur Federal Constituency, Rt Hon. Friday Okpechi of Obubra/Etung Federal Constituency, Barr. Attah Ochinke of Ikom/Boki Federal Constituency and Hon. Bassey Ewa of Cross River Central Senatorial District all emerge as flag bearers of the party.

In the Northern District Amb Peter Akpanke of Obudu/Obanliku/Bekwarra Federal Constituency, Barr. Godwin Offiono for Ogoja/Yala Federal Constituency and Sen. Jarigbe Agom for the Northern District won their opponents. 

A critical analysis of these results will show that Sen. Gershom Bassey comfortably swept the Central apart from Obubra/Etung Federal Constituency where Sandy Onor hails from In addition to the Yala/Ogoja federal constituency . The Bekwarra / Obudu / Obanliku federal constituency was more or less shared across the contending factors ( Akpanke / Ella / KJ) , so it's left to decipher who has what here in the Northern senatorial District where Jarigbe represents. For the Southern District, Daniel Asuquo took his Akamkpa/Biase Federal Constituency. While the remaining two federal constituencies were won by Apostle Essien Ayi and Etta Mbora. Unfortunately, Sen. Onor has created the impression that he is behind the wining of Etta Mbora and Essien Ayi, and this has given his supporters hope that they own those 5 LGA's but when the chips are down, Isantim and Mbora will rather turn their delegates and supporters towards their brother to ensure the back to south agenda manifest. 
Ekpo Okon will always back his brother and friend Gershom Bassey against a foreigner in Sandy Onor. 

So where Gershom is likely to sweep the votes of the Local Government Areas of the Central , and at least two Local Government Areas of the North, in addition to Calabar South and Odukpani  Local Government Areas, making it 8 LGAs . Sandy  will have  2 of the Local Government Areas in the Central and say 1 in the north .Then Dansuki will sweep two in the south, that is Akamkpa and Biase, apart from being able to create some upset in one / two  LGA's in the central and north . 
Calabar Municipality, Bakassi and Akpabuyo will be at the beck and call of Etta Mbora and Essien Ayi. Like I said Sandy cannot completely control these two colossi, when the chips are down, they will be more comfortable with a Gershom  Bassey as governor than a Sandy Onor. Remember, blood is thicker than water. 

But I seriously wonder why Sandy would want to claim he influenced the emergence of Essien Ayi or Etta Mbora when he couldn't influence the winnings of majority seats in his Senatorial District? 

Sandy can't be the source of Etta's winning nor was he the brain behind Ayi's emergence as the party's flag bearer. But he wants to twist the story to his favour to gather favour from both the delegates and Cross Riverians.


Also note that most of the LG in the south have more LGA  & wards , like Calabar South with 12 wards and Odukpani with 13 wards,  and its only Yala with 12 wards that appears about the only one at par . 


In summary, this governorship election puts a lot of pressure in the hands of Eta Mbora and Essien Ayi. Wherever they instruct their delegates, there will they go. And I will want them to know that should the Southern Agenda be cut short the south will hold them responsible and it shall affect them in the general election. 

If for any reason PDP does not produce a southern candidate, Eta Mbora and Essien Ayi should know that the South will revolt against PDP and cast their votes for APC who is poised to produce a Southern Candidate as there are strong indications that Prince Otu has been cleared by his party to contest the election. The revolution by the South against a none southern candidate will trickle down to the smallest office as the people will vote for APC.  


A stitch in time, they say saves nine.

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